| WEEK 14 | WEEK 13 | WEEK 12 | WEEK 11 | WEEK 10 | WEEK 9 | WEEK 8 |
| WEEK 7 | WEEK 6 | WEEK 5 | WEEK 4 | WEEK 3 | WEEK 2 | WEEK 1 |
BENGALS 
RAVENS |
-6.0 |
|
BENGALS
RAVENS |
52.5 |
GIANTS 
PANTHERS |
ML |
BILLS 
COLTS |
+5.0 |
VIKINGS 
JAGUARS |
-3.0 |
STEELERS 
COMMANDERS |
+3.0 |
FALCONS 
SAINTS |
+3.0 |
BRONCOS 
CHIEFS |
42.5 |
49ERS 
BUCCANEERS |
+7.0 |
PATRIOTS 
BEARS |
-6.0 |
TITANS 
CHARGERS |
-6.5 |
EAGLES 
COWBOYS |
-6.0 |
JETS 
CARDINALS |
-2.0 |
LIONS 
TEXANS |
-2.5 |
DOLPHINS 
RAMS |
-2.5 |
|
|
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL features a great AFC North matchup as the Bengals come in to Baltimore to face the Ravens.
This is the second meeting for these teams in 2024, and the first matchup was one of the best games of the season so far.
A back and forth game, saw the Ravens prevailing creating a possible revenge storyline for Burrow and the Bengals.
| TEAM | OFFENSE SCORED | DEFENSE ALLOWED | HOME ADJUSTMENT | BASE FORECAST | PROJECTED LINE | PROJECTED TOTALS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BENGALS |
26 |
25 |
-2 |
23 |
+7.0 |
53.5 |
|
RAVENS |
31 |
24 |
+2 |
30 |
-7.0 |
52.5 |
So, with this basic formula we would expect the line to open with BAL favored by anywhere from 6-7 points
Sure enough, the line opens at Baltimore -6 which is in line with our expectations, so no value either way quite yet
The next step is to compare the rushing offense and passing offense with the opposition defense to look for weaknesses.
| CIN OFFENSE VS BAL DEFENSE | RUSHING YARDS | AVERAGE RUSH | PASSING YARDS | YARDS PER ATTEMPT | SCORE ADJUSTMENT | NET FORECAST SCORE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BENGALS |
94 |
5.0 |
236 |
7.9 |
+4.0 |
27 |
|
RAVENS |
75 |
3.5 |
280 |
8.0 |
0 |
30 |
We are not going to give your our complete formula (that would be stupid)
But based on the offensive numbers vs defensive numbers, we increase the Bengals forecast by 4 points for a new total of 27 points.
Next, we do the same thing for the Ravens to see if there are any advantages not covered in the average scored and allowed numbers.
| BAL OFFENSE VS CIN DEFENSE | RUSHING YARDS | AVERAGE RUSH | PASSING YARDS | YARDS PER ATTEMPT | SCORE ADJUSTMENT | NET FORECAST SCORE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RAVENS |
191 |
5.0 |
254 |
7.1 |
+5.0 |
35 |
|
BENGALS |
130 |
4.3 |
212 |
7.0 |
0 |
0 |
The Ravens offense is strong both with the run and the pass, creating a problem for the Bengals' defense
Looking at the Bengals' defense, both the Ravens' rushing totals and passing totals should go up or stay the same.
Recent games for the Bengals support this as they gave up 24 to the last-place Raiders and 37 to the Eagles (both games at home)
So with this yardage information factored in, we increase the Ravens score forecast to 35 points.
| Game | SSC | Line | Totals | Money | Best Play | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BENGALS
RAVENS |
27 |
+6.5 |
52.5 |
+210 |
52.5 |
NOT PLAYED |
|
35 |
-6.0 |
52.0 |
-250 |
So, with a new score forecast of 35-27, the 8 point margin is just slightly over the Baltimore -6 point spread
This new score forecast when combined is a net total of 62 points, almost 10 points OVER the totals line of 52.5
We would recommend a half position BALTIMORE -6 combined with half on the Money Line.
But the preferred pick here would be the TOTALS play, get the number to 52 or lower and take the OVER.
Copyright Spirit Sports Consultants 2024
Note that the following is for entertainment purposes only. This website does not encourage illegal gambling
